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17-15: FORECASTING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

Use a spreadsheet model to forecast the financial statements in Problems 17-13 and 17-14

ADDITIONAL FUNDS NEEDED Morrissey Technologies Inc.’s 2015 financial statements are shown here.

Morrissey Technologies Inc.: Balance Sheet as of December 31, 2015

Cash                                 $ 180,000           Accounts payable                   $ 360,000

Receivable                         360,000           Accrued liabilities                        180,000

Inventories                        720,000           Notes payable                                56,000

Total current assets      $1,260,000          Total currents liabilities              $   596,000

Long term debt                            100,000

Fixed assets                    1,440,000           Common stock                         1,800,000

000          Retained earnings                       204,000

Total assets                    $2,700,000          Total liabilities and equity      $2,700,000

Morrissey Technologies Inc.: Income Statement for December 31, 2015

Sales                                                                  $3,600,000

Operating cost including depreciation                 3,279,000

EBIT                                                                   $    320,280

Interest                                                                     20,280

EBT                                                                    $    300,000

Taxes (40%)                                                           120,000

Net Income                                                     $   180,000

Per Share Data:

Common stock price                                              $45.00

Earnings per share (EPS)                                       $ 1.80

Dividends per share                                               $ 1.08

Suppose that in 2016, sales increase by 10% over 2015 sales. The firm currently has 100,000 shares outstanding. It expects to maintain its 2015 dividend payout ratio and believes that its assets should grow at the same rate as sales. The firm has no excess capacity. However, the firm would like to reduce its Operating costs/Sales ratio to 87. 5% and increase its total liabilities-to-assets ratio to 30%. (It believes its liabilities-to-assets ratio currently is too low relative to the industry average.) The firm will raise 30% of the 2016 forecasted interest-bearing debt as notes payable, and it will issue long-term bonds for the remainder. The firm forecasts that its before-tax cost of debt (which includes both short-term and long-term debt) is 12.5%. Assume that any common stock issuances or repurchases can be made at the firm’s current stock price of $45.

Construct the forecasted financial statements assuming that these changes are made. What is the firm’s forecasted notes payable and long-term debt balances? What is the forecasted addition to retained earnings?

If the profit margin remains at 5% and the dividend payout ratio remains at 60%, at what growth rate in sales will the additional financing requirements be exactly zero? In other words, what is the firm’s sustainable growth rate? (Hint: Set AFN equal to zero and solve for g.)